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Soka Predictor rates every team with an Elo model built from thousands of past results, then publishes home, draw and away probabilities for the day's fixtures across Europe's major leagues. Check back when the next round kicks off.

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Ajax vs Atalanta

UEFA Europa Conference League · World · Thu 22 Oct

Ajax to win57%Won

Ajax rated 67 Elo points stronger overall Ajax in noticeably better recent form over the last five matches Ajax carrying the stronger goal difference across that run Ajax at home (last 10): 2W 5D 3L, scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.5 per game Atalanta on the road (last 10): 3W 3D 4L, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 per game Goals model expects about 1.6 to 1.7, giving both teams to score 68% and over 2.5 goals 63%

Published 2026-10-22 04:33 UTC, before kickoff

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Top Picks are the model's highest confidence-gap calls, not guaranteed results. Every pick ships with its reasoning and our published backtest so you can judge the edge.